House Majority Leader Eric Cantor lost his primary in convincing fashion, but there appears to be two separate questions: How did he lose? And why was it a surprise?
One thing that everyone should be able to agree on is that Cantor’s loss was historic. According to…
The office of lieutenant governor is so important that five states don’t even have one, yet that hasn’t stopped the national political media from treating some contests for the office as crucial indicators of something.
In the recent primary runoff in Texas, anti-establishment conservative state Sen. Dan Patrick…
Projecting which party is going to win a competitive seat in November can be challenging, except when one party doesn’t even have a candidate.
Two Republicans finished first and second in the primary in California’s 25th District, guaranteeing that the seat will remain in GOP hands for another…
When the dust settled in the Republican primary in West Virginia’s 2nd District, Alex Mooney stood alone with the nomination. Democrats rejoiced because Mooney is a former state senator from Maryland and former chairman of the Maryland Republican Party. But Mooney winning the general election isn’t as outrageous as…
Georgia’s 1st District. State Sen. Buddy Carter (36 percent) and Dr. Bob Johnson (23 percent) finished first and second in the May 20 primary and will face off in a July 22 runoff. John McCallum was third with 20 percent, ahead of Jeff Chapman (13 percent) and Darwin Carter…
Longtime readers of my column know I have often been skeptical about endorsements in highly visible contests, whether for the White House or the Senate. But what about an endorsement in a U.S. House race or a House primary? And could an endorsement actually hurt the candidate endorsed?
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Most readers know that Nathan Gonzales and I, along with our friends from Roll Call, interview at least 150 candidates for Congress every election cycle. I have been doing it for many years.
Not every hopeful passes through our offices, of course, and many candidates have won elections…
One party is using abortion as wedge issue in races all across the country — and it’s not the Republicans.
Abortion rights is a critical part of Democrats’ pitch to women in swing districts and states in general elections. But now some Democratic candidates from Maine to Hawaii…
My new statistical model of the open Wisconsin Senate seat suggests that Democrats now have only a 54.496 percent chance of holding the seat. That’s a dramatic change from just three weeks ago, when my model showed them with a 55.501 percent chance.
The change results from three…
University of Illinois professor George Gollin forced one of Democrats’ top recruits to spend a few hundred thousand dollars to win the primary. Now Gollin is popping up in other House races hundreds of miles away and potentially causing problems for more top recruits.
Earlier this year, Gollin…
