Archive

2022 Senate: A Range of Outcomes After Virginia and New Jersey

by Bradley Wascher November 23, 2021 · 4:06 PM EST

Recent elections in Virginia and New Jersey provide additional clarity on the position of the national environment heading into the 2022 Senate elections, and although there are still a range of outcomes for how the midterms might play out, Republicans currently appear to have an advantage.

Alabama Redistricting: A Crimson-Red Congressional Map

by Bradley Wascher November 22, 2021 · 11:00 AM EST

Alabama’s congressional map has hardly changed over the past few redistricting cycles, and the same seems set to hold true for 2021.

One of the most reliably Republican states in the country, Alabama’s congressional delegation is currently made up of six Republicans and one Democrat, a partisan…

2022 House Ratings (November 22, 2021)

November 22, 2021 · 10:59 AM EST

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Good to Great for GOP

November 19, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP. 

With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

November 19, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Gov. Kay Ivey, a Republican, signed Alabama’s new map into law on Nov. 4. The new lines maintain the status quo partisan balance, with six Solid Republican seats and one Solid Democratic, majority-Black seat (Rep.…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Kansas - New York

November 19, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

November 19, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the…

2022 House Ratings (November 19, 2021)

November 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Report Shorts (November 19, 2021)

by Jacob Rubashkin November 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount…

Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

by Bradley Wascher November 15, 2021 · 1:09 PM EST

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan that will likely make federal elections in the state much less…