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Recent elections in Virginia and New Jersey provide additional clarity on the position of the national environment heading into the 2022 Senate elections, and although there are still a range of outcomes for how the midterms might play out, Republicans currently appear to have an advantage.
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Alabama’s congressional map has hardly changed over the past few redistricting cycles, and the same seems set to hold true for 2021.
One of the most reliably Republican states in the country, Alabama’s congressional delegation is currently made up of six Republicans and one Democrat, a partisan…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP.
With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in…
Alabama. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Gov. Kay Ivey, a Republican, signed Alabama’s new map into law on Nov. 4. The new lines maintain the status quo partisan balance, with six Solid Republican seats and one Solid Democratic, majority-Black seat (Rep.…
Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if…
North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the…
Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount…

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan that will likely make federal elections in the state much less…