Archive

If History’s a Guide, Biden Ain’t Getting Any Stronger

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2022 · 11:52 AM EST

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 9 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before…

Michigan 3: Scholten Back for a Rematch

by Jacob Rubashkin February 1, 2022 · 6:10 AM EST

Hillary Scholten, the Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 3rd District in 2020, is running for the Grand Rapids-area seat again, setting up a potential rematch with freshman GOP Rep. Peter Meijer.

But unlike in 2020, when Meijer defeated Scholten by 6 points, 53-47 percent, the 3rd District is now…

Illinois Redistricting: Multiple Member-on-Member Matchups

by Bradley Wascher January 28, 2022 · 1:52 PM EST

Although the new Illinois congressional map will solidify Democrats’ advantage for years to come, neither party left the redistricting process unscathed. From eliminated districts to double-bunked incumbents, the revised lines introduce new intrigue — and uncertainty — to Prairie State politics. 

Pennsylvania Senate: GOP Spending Spree

by Jacob Rubashkin January 21, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

Five months ago, the Republican primary to succeed retiring Sen. Pat Toomey looked like a relatively straightforward affair. But after the frontrunner dropped out amidst scandal and with the primary fast approaching, the Republican field in Pennsylvania is as unsettled as it ever has been.

The…

Maryland Redistricting: Crossing the Chesapeake

by Jacob Rubashkin January 21, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

As one of the few states in which Democrats had full control of redistricting, Maryland was a major focus of national Democrats looking for any advantages heading into a tough midterm election.

But while state legislators in Annapolis moved against the congressional delegation’s lone remaining…

Report Shorts (January 21, 2022)

January 21, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

California House. Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney announced he will not seek re-election, setting off a brief game of musical chairs. The congressman was assumed to be running for the newly-drawn 9th District. But now that McNerney is on his way out, Democratic Rep. Josh Harder will run for…

Michigan Redistricting: Mix and Match

by Jacob Rubashkin January 13, 2022 · 10:40 AM EST

While Michigan’s new congressional map looks even on paper, the final results could be skewed toward Republicans, thanks to a positive political environment.

Currently, the Michigan congressional delegation is evenly divided, with seven Democrats and seven Republicans. But that won’t be the case…

2022 House Ratings (January 13, 2022)

January 13, 2022 · 10:39 AM EST