Inside Elections

2022 Senate Ratings (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022 · 2:25 PM EDT

2022 House Ratings (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022 · 2:24 PM EDT

The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-funded TV Ads

by Jacob Rubashkin June 30, 2022 · 1:19 PM EDT

“I’m Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Democrat for Congress, and I approve this message.”

In 2021, it was a difficult refrain to escape in South Florida; Cherfilus-McCormick’s advertisements, each ending in that disclosure, aired hundreds of times on TV.

But three commercials that aired earlier this…

Colorado Senate: Bennet More Vulnerable After Primary

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 29, 2022 · 12:39 PM EDT

Many have tried to become the next Claire McCaskill. Most have failed.

The former Democratic senator from Missouri is credited with strategic advertising that convinced Republicans to nominate a flawed opponent in 2012. Candidates and party strategists on both sides of the aisle have tried to…

2022 Senate Ratings (June 29, 2022)

June 29, 2022 · 12:38 PM EDT

An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2022 · 7:12 PM EDT

The Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade is a historic event, but it will take at least a few weeks, if not longer, to know whether it is an election-changing event. 

Arguably the worst time to measure the political impact of an event is while it is still going on. The second…

Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

by Jacob Rubashkin June 17, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back,…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2022)

June 17, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama
Senate. Rep. Mo Brooks was left for politically dead after former President Donald Trump rescinded his endorsement. But he still managed to revive his campaign enough for a second-place finish, with 29 percent to Katie Boyd Britt’s 45 percent. Veteran Mike Durant’s once-high-flying effort…

Rating change: Texas’ 34th District moves onto fall battlefield

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2022 · 4:19 PM EDT

While it’s wise not to overreact to special election outcomes, don’t dismiss Republican Mayra Flores’ special election victory in Texas' 34th District. 

There are some reasons to qualify Tuesday’s outcome, including the fact that Republicans outspent Democrats by a sizable margin, and the seat is…

2022 House Ratings (June 15, 2022)

June 15, 2022 · 4:18 PM EDT