Archive

Should Democrats Worry About Obama Disconnect in 2010?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 23, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Don’t be surprised if you soon hear Democrats asserting that midterm elections are referendums on incumbent presidents and that as long as President Barack Obama’s numbers remain strong and the GOP brand remains weak, Democratic candidates running for high office next year have nothing to worry…

Stu on ABC: Bonus Backlash

March 22, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Click here to watch Stu on ABC about the AIG bonus backlash.

Florida 8: Magical World of Politics

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

It was bad enough last fall for Republicans to lose another 21 House seats, but they even lost Disney World. Now, GOPers are hoping out-spoken freshman Cong. Alan Grayson (D) will help make their dreams of taking back Florida’s 8th District come true by saying something outlandish.

Grayson…

California 32: Race Matters?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When President Barack Obama plucked Cong. Hilda Solis (D) from the House for his cabinet, he left Democrats with an open seat to defend. But unlike the special election in upstate New York, Democrats are in no danger of losing this Southern California seat.

State Sen. Gil Cedillo (D) and Board…

RNC Selects New Political Director

by Stuart Rothenberg March 19, 2009 · 8:00 AM EDT

Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele has selected veteran GOP operative Gentry Collins to become the RNC’s new Political Director.

Collins joins a team that already includes Executive Director Ken McKay and Director of Communications Trevor Francis, both of whom were named…

National Mood Isn’t Always Visible on the Ground

by Stuart Rothenberg March 19, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Polls show that the nation’s political winds are not changing. President Barack Obama is up, while Republicans are down — and spending more time on trivial matters such as Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele than on rebuilding their brand.

The past couple of months have also…

Savvy Players Are Big Factor in Current Success of Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg March 16, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

There are more than a few reasons why Republicans are in a political hole currently and, more importantly, why the party is having a hard time getting out of it.

But we’ve all talked long enough about former President George W. Bush, the unpopular war in Iraq, the economy, the GOP’s missteps…

One Thing Obama Didn’t Change Is the Same Old Rhetoric

by Stuart Rothenberg March 12, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT
“I realize that there are those who simply don’t believe Washington can bring about this change. And the odds are long. It’s failed too many times. There are too many special interests and entrenched lobbyists invested in the status quo. … I didn’t come to Washington to take the easy route, or to…

New York 20: Toss-Up

March 11, 2009 · 4:24 PM EDT

It’s a sprint to March 31 in the special election race to replace appointed-Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) in New York’s 20th District, and there is mounting evidence that this race is a pure toss-up.

The Republican voter registration advantage appears to be a lagging indicator of the direction of…

2010 House Ratings

March 11, 2009 · 4:13 PM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. We've moved New York's 20th District from Toss-Up/Tilt Republican to Pure Toss-Up. The special election will be held on March 31.



Pure Toss-Up (0R, 2 D)
  • NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
  • NY 20 (Open; Gillibrand, D) *March 31 special
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican…