Archive

Off-Year Shenanigans: What’s a Party Committee to Do?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 11, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s the off year for the House and Senate campaign committees, which means that most of the time is spent on matters like planning, fundraising and candidate recruitment.

But few campaign operatives are entirely content with doing just that. They’d rather stir the political pot whenever…

Anti-Establishment Candidates Come in All Shapes and Sizes

by Stuart Rothenberg May 7, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Senate primaries in three states already look like classic battles featuring insurgent candidates preparing to take on the preferred choice of “the establishment.” But each contest has its own particular features, and the three races may not produce identical outcomes.

Two of the contests are…

New Print Edition: California 10 & Mississippi 1

May 5, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

The May 4, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…

Mississippi 1: Returning to Form?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Winning has consequences. After winning 53 seats in the House over the last four years, Democrats find themselves defending a number of Republican-leaning seats, including Mississippi’s 1st District.

Democrat Travis Childers was first elected in a 2008 special election, taking over a GOP seat…

California 10: Waiting for Tauscher

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

A handful of Northern California Democrats are praying that Cong. Ellen Tauscher (D) paid her taxes on time.

President Barack Obama nominated the moderate congresswoman to be undersecretary of arms control and international security at the State Department. And while she has yet to be…

Specter Switch Could Send Ripples Far and Wide for Both Parties

by Stuart Rothenberg May 4, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter’s party switch is one of those developments that both reflects the depth of the problems facing the GOP and could begin a new chapter for some Democratic officeholders who will face additional political challenges down the road.

Republican strategists are…

For Obama, Deference Is Starting to Become a Troubling Habit

by Stuart Rothenberg April 30, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

It certainly looks as if President Barack Obama can’t quite make up his mind on how to deal with calls within his party for a full-scale public investigation — with possible legal action — of Bush administration officials who approved of interrogation tactics that most Democrats regard as…

Oklahoma Governor: J.C. Getting Close to Giving the O.K. in OK

April 29, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Former Congressman J.C. Watts is getting close to making a decision about whether to enter the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial race, and usually reliable sources say that he is now much more likely than not to jump into the contest.

Watts, who served four terms in the U.S. House before…

2010 Senate Ratings

April 28, 2009 · 12:36 PM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter's switch from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (1 R, 0 D)

  • Bunning (R-KY)
Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)

Polling in Perilous Territory

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 28, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Are Sens. Jim Bunning (R-Ky.), Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) or Richard Burr (R-N.C.) this cycle’s Rick Santorum?

The former Pennsylvania Senator began his 2006 re-election race down in the polls and never recovered. And while Bunning, Dodd and Burr have something in common with Santorum’s early…