Archive

Indiana Senate Moved to Toss-Up

February 15, 2010 · 12:59 PM EST

Democratic Senator Evan Bayh’s sudden and surprising decision not to seek reelection this year is another blow to Democratic Senate prospects.

Bayh surely was the strongest candidate Indiana Democrats could have nominated – if only because of his years of proven electoral success and his $13…

It All Depends on the Meaning of Party Identification

February 9, 2010 · 10:32 AM EST

I’ll admit it. I like numbers.

Whether the number is a WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) when evaluating a baseball pitcher, a price-to-earnings ratio when evaluating a stock or a job approval when considering an incumbent’s re-election prospects, I rely on numbers to allow me to make…

PA 12 moved into competitive category

February 8, 2010 · 1:56 PM EST

The passing of Cong. John Murtha (D) and subsequent open seat creates a Republican takeover opportunity in Pennsylvania’s 12th District. Sen. John McCain carried the competitive district narrowly in 2008 while Sen. John Kerry won it with 51% in 2004.

We’ve also moved Connecticut’s 5th District…

GOP Bets on Super Bowl Vets in 2010

February 7, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Jon Runyan expected to be in Miami right now, getting ready to play in another Super Bowl, but instead he’s in New Jersey preparing to challenge an incumbent Member of Congress.

After a dozen years in the National Football League and off-season knee surgery last year, Runyan looked like he was…

For Republicans, Overconfidence Poses a Growing Problem

February 5, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Maybe House Republicans learned their lesson last week after President Barack Obama joined them at their retreat and proved once again to be a very formidable opponent rather than a mere foil.

But even if the president’s poised performance brought some of them back to reality, Democratic…

IL Governor Moved to Toss-Up

February 4, 2010 · 1:52 PM EST

In Illinois, Gov. Pat Quinn’s (D) narrow primary victory exposed some significant weaknesses heading into the general election. State Comptroller Dan Hynes surged late but didn’t have enough time to overcome Quinn and now Republicans are happily repeating Hynes’ attack ads and themes. Quinn will…

IN Sen Moved to Narrow Advantage for Bayh

February 3, 2010 · 12:35 PM EST

Former Sen. Dan Coats’ (R) likely entry into the Indiana Senate race puts another seat into play for Republicans.

Coats last served in the Senate a decade ago and Democrats are already attacking him for living in Virginia since then, but the Republican should be a credible alternative for…

Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

February 2, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

A little more than 10 years ago (Jan. 17, 2000, to be exact), I began writing my “Dangerous Dozen” columns about open House seats, and the recent flurry of retirements means there finally are enough to fill a list for the 2010 cycle.

The fact that so many of the districts on this list are…

Idaho 1: How the West is Won

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 29, 2010 · 12:01 PM EST

Walt Minnick was one of a number of Democrats swept into office in 2008, but the Idaho businessman is already planning to be a survivor in 2010, even if his party is buried nationally in a Republican wave.

Over the last year, Minnick, who represents an extremely GOP-friendly district in Idaho,…

White House Taking More Flak From Its Political Allies

January 29, 2010 · 11:02 AM EST

It isn’t surprising that Republican Members of Congress and their talking heads on television slam the Obama administration every day. Given the partisan divide, that’s probably inevitable.

But what is surprising is the growing criticism coming from Democratic circles and from party political…