Being an ally of the Speaker of the House is normally an asset. But these are not normal times for the Republican Party.
GOP Rep. Mike Simpson is in his eighth term representing Idaho’s 2nd District, has a prime slot on the Appropriations Committee and has been a reliable vote for his party.…
As the stretch run for the Virginia gubernatorial election begins, Democrat Terry McAuliffe has established himself as a narrow but clear front-runner over state Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, a Republican.
Polling generally shows the Democrat with a consistent mid-to-upper single digit lead,…
Late last week, Democrats released a poll showing Democrat Gwen Graham running neck-and-neck with GOP Rep. Steve Southerland II. They could have saved themselves a few thousand dollars because you don’t need a poll to show that Florida’s 2nd District will be competitive. But that also doesn’t…
President Barack Obama could have saved himself a lot of headaches, and potentially his presidential legacy, if he had done one thing: cultivated a relationship with Congress.
It doesn’t have anything to do with courting GOP leadership or caving to tea party conservatives. Multiple…
Local races rarely have an impact on statewide or congressional elections, but a trio of local races this year could have an effect on three competitive House districts next year.
The most immediate example is the special election for mayor of San Diego.
Republican former City Councilman Carl…
According to conventional wisdom, there are fewer competitive House races than ever before thanks to partisan gerrymandering. But a closer look at the past 10 elections shows that the 2014 batch of races isn’t far from other non-wave cycles.
There are currently 49 House seats rated as…
President Barack Obama’s jaw-dropping decision over the holiday weekend to ask Congress for authorization to strike Syria was initially seen by some as a savvy political move, because it gives him political cover and puts Republicans in the hot seat.
But if it gives the president some…
It’s August of an odd-numbered year, but the 2014 cycle is heating up. That means dozens of candidates are visiting us at The Rothenberg Political Report in anticipation of the midterm elections.
Some of them will win, but most will lose. So we’ve started taking notes on some sure-fire ways…
Kay Hagan could run a perfect campaign and still lose re-election.
In 2008, the Democratic state senator was elected to the U.S. Senate because she was at the right place at the right time. She faced an aging politician who had lost touch with the state, and she benefitted from Barack Obama’s…
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