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2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

May 9, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Former Bridgewater CEO Dave McCormick is officially the GOP nominee, and Republican strategists are hopeful that a favorable political environment plus McCormick’s military experience and ample pocketbook will vault him…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada

by Bradley Wascher May 9, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

Democrats have carried Nevada in each of the last four presidential elections, yet it continues to be a top battleground thanks to its unique political geography. President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy has weighed him down in early polls of the state, but Democrats can point to a number of…

Report Shorts (May 9, 2024)

May 9, 2024 · 2:25 PM EDT

Indiana’s 3rd District. Former Rep. Marlin Stutzman prevailed in a crowded and competitive GOP primary with 24 percent, finishing ahead of businessman Tim Smith (23 percent), judge Wendy Davis (19 percent), state Sen. Andy Zay (16 percent), contractor Grant Bucher (10 percent), and others. The Fort…

Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 8, 2024 · 11:46 AM EDT

Despite a persistently tight race in the national polls, President Joe Biden is in a precarious position for reelection and may even be a slight underdog with less than six months to go. 

Former President Donald Trump has led Biden by about 1 point or less for the last six weeks, according to the…

Podcast Episode 22: Mailbag with Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press

May 3, 2024 · 12:41 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press answer questions in the first-ever mailbag episode, talking about races in Iowa, Florida, and New York, the number of astronauts turned politicians, and a look into the world of political handicapping.

Listen to the…

2024 Gubernatorial Overview: Small Cycle, Big Turnover

by Jacob Rubashkin April 26, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

Eleven states will choose a governor this November. But nearly all of the suspense will play out over the next five months, as primary voters pick nominees that will almost assuredly win their general elections.

Just three states are playing host to races that appear competitive for both parties,…

Arizona 6: Twice the Charm in Tucson?

by Jacob Rubashkin April 26, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

The Arizona Supreme Court’s recent abortion ruling put a national spotlight on the Grand Canyon State ahead of the 2024 elections. Beyond the highly competitive and consequential presidential and Senate contests taking place this fall, there are two House races in Arizona that could have national…