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2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Iowa - New Mexico

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 1, 2014 · 3:01 PM EDT

IOWA -- Terry Branstad (R), elected 2010 (53%); elected 1982 (53%), 1986 (52%), 1990 (61%) and 1994 (57%).
Any Democratic hopes of defeating Gov. Branstad with state Sen. Jack Hatch are quickly fading away. Most of the political oxygen in the state is focused on the open seat Senate race between…

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) New York - Wyoming

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 1, 2014 · 3:00 PM EDT

OHIO -- John Kasich (R), elected 2010 (49%).
Gov. Kasich started the cycle near the top of every Democratic target list and he struggled at the beginning of his term when a statewide initiation repeal his effort to restrict collective bargaining. But Kasich reversed course, backed Medicaid…

So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper? 2014 Edition

by Stuart Rothenberg July 30, 2014 · 10:29 AM EDT

The thought of three candidate interviews over a four-hour period invariably fills me with dread.

The chance of all three congressional hopefuls being thoughtful, reasonable and personable — and having a good chance of winning in the fall — is relatively small.

But sometimes the unexpected…

Chuck Schumer’s Dream: A Democratic Nightmare

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 29, 2014 · 10:16 AM EDT

New York Sen. Charles E. Schumer laid out his dream for a less partisan Washington recently. But the Democrat’s New York Times op-ed is giving some strategists in his own party nightmares.

“Polarization and partisanship are a plague on American politics,” Schumer wrote in the piece — titled,…

Montana Senate Moves to Lean Republican

by Stuart Rothenberg July 24, 2014 · 2:00 PM EDT

As Roll Call was preparing to post my column yesterday on the Montana Senate race and recent Democratic polls showing the contest “closing,” a report surfaced in the New York Times about appointed Senator John Walsh’s plagiarism in his master’s thesis.

The Walsh story is a huge one and…

Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 24, 2014 · 1:59 PM EDT

Maybe you believe in coincidences. I usually do — but not four months from an election.

Almost simultaneously, two different memos appeared from Democratic pollsters insisting the Montana Senate race has closed and the outcome of the contest is very much in doubt.

One memo, by North…

‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race

by Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2014 · 12:11 PM EDT

Having written about House and Senate races for the past 30 years, I’ve seen plenty of press releases, polling memos and campaign strategy emails. But rarely have I received anything as silly as a July 9 press release from New Hampshire Republican Senate hopeful Scott P. Brown’s campaign, which…

GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 22, 2014 · 10:23 AM EDT

Phil Berger Jr.’s loss in last week's Republican runoff in North Carolina’s 6th District was about more than an establishment favorite getting knocked off by an anti-establishment challenger.

He could have been a key player for Republicans in future Roll Call Congressional Baseball Games.