Archive

What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2015 · 9:56 AM EDT

We won’t know the 2016 Republican presidential nominee for more than a year, but we already know the 10 states — the electoral “Big Ten” — that will select the next occupant of the White House.

Because of that, we can evaluate the GOP’s general election prospects over the next 12 to 18 months by…

Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 10, 2015 · 1:08 PM EDT

Tennessee Rep. Scott DesJarlais was an unlikely survivor in his 2014 Republican primary, but his next electoral challenge may already be on the horizon.

Grant Starrett, a young aide on both of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaigns, is contacting donors in advance of a potential run in the 4th…

Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 2:00 PM EST

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton hasn’t officially announced her campaign and we’re still many months away from knowing who Republicans will pick to be their nominee, but the presidential battleground is already coming into focus. The next commander in chief is likely to be decided by…

Why Electoral Waves Are Rarer in a Presidential Year

by Stuart Rothenberg March 6, 2015 · 1:59 PM EST

Six months before the 2014 midterm elections, Arkansas Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor looked to be in serious trouble, as did the Democratic-held Montana Senate seat. Even more troubling for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, the party’s seats in strongly red states like West Virginia and…

Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:58 PM EST

Democrats pulled off a special election upset in a conservative Mississippi district back in 2008, but can they do it again?

Seven years ago, moderate Democrat Travis Childers took advantage of a divided Republican Party and some unique timing to take over the seat vacated by GOP Rep. Roger…

Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:57 PM EST

Five-term Sen. Barbara Mikulski announced her retirement on Monday giving ambitious Maryland Democrats an open seat opportunity. But it remains to be seen how many candidates will take the plunge. 

Mikulski, who served in Congress longer than any other woman, had been raising money but was never…

Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate

March 6, 2015 · 1:55 PM EST

California Senate. Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D) decided against running for the open seat created by Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer’s retirement. State Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) continues to be the considerable favorite in the race. 

Rep. Xavier Becerra (D) hasn’t…

Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 5, 2015 · 8:45 AM EST

Yes, I know Pennsylvania Democrats don’t have a 2016 Senate candidate who excites the entire party yet. I also know the election is 20 months away — plenty of time for them to rally around a nominee.

GOP Sen. Patrick J. Toomey’s re-election prospects in Pennsylvania next year depend to a large…

Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2015 · 10:38 AM EST

The Senate is filled with members who lost previous races. But Democrats Joe Sestak and Russ Feingold are trying to pull off a rare electoral feat: defeating the people who defeated them six years prior.

In 2010, Republican businessman Ron Johnson defeated Feingold, the incumbent Democrat, 52…