Inside Elections

2016 Senate Ratings (May 29, 2015)

May 29, 2015 · 2:57 PM EDT

How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System

by Stuart Rothenberg May 28, 2015 · 11:35 AM EDT

Fox News and CNN, which will broadcast the first two GOP presidential debates, have decided on a system for excluding candidates that could result in Donald Trump participating in those debates but current or former senators and governors being excluded.

Nice going, guys.

I certainly agree having…

Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races

May 26, 2015 · 1:00 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona. 

Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. Moreover, Republicans…

2016 Senate Ratings (May 26, 2015)

May 26, 2015 · 12:59 PM EDT

2016 House Ratings (May 26, 2015)

May 26, 2015 · 12:58 PM EDT

500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 26, 2015 · 11:41 AM EDT

There were a few constants during the 2014 cycle: death, taxes, my three young kids waking up before 7 a.m. and a daily Democratic email attacking North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis. But in the end, even in the face of hundreds of blistering emails, the Republican challenger knocked off Democratic…

Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 21, 2015 · 11:06 AM EDT

The May 5 email I received from Colorado Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet’s campaign committee opened with: “Larry Sabato in Politico: COLORADO IS ONE OF ONLY SEVEN 2016 TOSS-UPS. Colorado will decide the 2016 election!”

Forget the fact Sabato’s piece was talking about the Electoral College and the…

Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats can’t afford to lose any of their own Senate seats in 2016 in order to have a chance at winning back the majority. That means holding on to Nevada. 

Nevada has changed dramatically between 2004, when President George W. Bush won the Silver State handily, and 2008 (and 2012), when Barack…

Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

1st District.
The Las Vegas-based district is very Democratic and not at risk of a Republican takeover. If Democratic Rep. Dina Titus decides to run for the Senate, the fight to replace her would be in the primary. 

Barack Obama won the district with 65 percent in 2008 and 66 percent in 2012, and…

Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT

With nine months to go before the first caucuses and a throng of Republicans interested in the presidential nomination, only a one thing is certain: only one candidate will finish first in Iowa. And it’s unclear how another dozen or so established politicians will handle losing the Hawkeye State. …