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Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

For some members of Congress with young families, getting elected is the easy part; deciding whether to move your family to Washington is more difficult.

Members of the Indiana delegation have been wrestling with the decision for decades, in a state where residency consistently pops up as a…

Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 18, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

Marco Rubio didn’t have to give up his Senate seat to run for president, but he wanted to give Republicans the best opportunity to avoid Florida falling into Democratic hands and putting the majority at risk. We’ll see if it works out that way. 

Once again, Florida will be at the epicenter of 2016…

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 18, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Democrats may still have nightmares about recounts, hanging chads, and Florida, but the Sunshine State should be firmly lodged on any list of presidential swing states. Intelligent people can debate whether Colorado, North Carolina, and Virginia are pure toss-ups, but the presidential nominees seem…

Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)

September 18, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT

Arkansas Senate. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge announced his challenge to Sen. John Boozman. “Washington is broken,” the 37-year-old Democrat said in a boilerplate release. “I’m running for the Senate because I’m committed to doing everything I can to fix it for Arkansas and for our…

2016 House Ratings (September 18, 2015)

September 18, 2015 · 2:57 PM EDT

Post-CNN Debate Thoughts

by Stuart Rothenberg September 18, 2015 · 10:12 AM EDT

Given there are still four and one-half months until the Iowa caucuses, why would any Iowa Republican make a final decision right now about which candidate he or she will support?

Yet that didn’t stop CNN from treating Wednesday night’s GOP debate at the Reagan Library as the Super Bowl, with a…

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

by Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2015 · 10:08 AM EDT

Compared to the Republican race for president, the Democratic contest looks almost normal.

Yes, Hillary Rodham Clinton’s poll numbers have plummeted so far and so fast that she trails an avowed socialist in Iowa and New Hampshire polls, and she looks so damaged that Vice President Joseph R. Biden…

No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2015 · 9:05 AM EDT

Democrats need Republican incumbents to retire from competitive districts in order to expand the playing field of competitive House races. But GOP Rep. Dan Benishek’s decision not to run for re-election in Michigan barely moves the status quo of the House battlefield.

Benishek was already…

More House Retirements Likely to Come

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 14, 2015 · 10:00 AM EDT

After spending five weeks at home in their districts with their families, how many members got homesick and are set to retire?

If history is a guide, at least a handful or more House members will announce their departure in the days, weeks and months ahead.

Earlier this month, GOP Rep. John Kline…

A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race

by Stuart Rothenberg September 10, 2015 · 12:48 PM EDT

Republican front-runner Donald Trump isn’t going away anytime soon, I now believe.

That assessment doesn’t mean I think Trump is the favorite for the Iowa caucuses or the GOP nomination, but it does reflect a fundamental shift in my thinking. I have believed and been arguing that once Iowa…