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2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 6, 2015 · 3:30 PM EST

A year out from the 2016 elections, control of the Senate is up for grabs.

The playing field is starting to solidify around a batch of seven states, including Illinois, Wisconsin, Florida, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Ohio, which are likely to decide the majority in the next congress.…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama - Kansas

November 6, 2015 · 3:29 PM EST

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby continues to stockpile money for a future institute for politics at the University of Alabama when he leaves office. The senator had $19 million in his campaign account at the end of September…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico

November 6, 2015 · 3:28 PM EST

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). Paul’s run for president hasn’t caught fire but his re-election prospects received a boost after this week’s election results. Republicans took over the governorship and defeated state Auditor Adam Edelen, who was regarded as the most likely Democratic…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York - Wyoming

November 6, 2015 · 3:27 PM EST

NEW YORK – Chuck Schumer (D) elected 1998 (55%), 2004 (71%), 2010 (66%). Schumer will win a fourth term. The only question is whether he will be the majority or minority leader in the next congress. Safe for Democrats.

NORTH CAROLINA – Richard Burr (R) elected 2004 (52%), 2010 (55%). The Tar Heel…

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

by Stuart Rothenberg November 6, 2015 · 9:17 AM EST

Though I took notice of Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner’s endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio for president, I didn’t immediately think about Gardner as a possible running mate for Rubio — until a CQ Roll Call colleague dropped that pearl of wisdom in my lap.

But there are plenty of reasons why Gardner…

What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 4, 2015 · 7:07 PM EST

Matt Bevin’s victory in the Kentucky governor’s race is yet another sobering reminder that polling is a risky business. And for some Republicans, Kentucky could be a glimmer of hope for GOP Sen. David Vitter’s gubernatorial bid in Louisiana.

Bevin’s victory wasn’t the political shockwave on par…

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

by Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2015 · 9:16 AM EST

Carly Fiorina is popular among Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa. And yet, when those same Republicans are asked to name their preferred candidate for president, they generally don’t select her. Why?

Is it simply, as some have suggested, that Republicans don’t want to vote for a woman, or…

Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 30, 2015 · 9:01 AM EDT

Blame the earmark ban or Republican leaders. Blame Ted Cruz or even Justin Bieber. But don’t blame gerrymandering for the fighting in the House.

As Republicans labor through replacing Speaker John A. Boehner, bemoaning redistricting has become a common refrain in explaining the GOP civil war.