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2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama - Kansas

March 4, 2016 · 2:59 PM EST

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby turned back a serious primary challenge from Jonathan McConnell on Tuesday, 65-28 percent. The senator’s allies were concerned that Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz would turn out a crowd of…

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky - New Mexico

March 4, 2016 · 2:58 PM EST

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). May 17 primary. Paul dropped his run for president after the Iowa caucuses and is finally focused on running for re-election. He shouldn’t have a problem, considering Kentucky’s serious Republican lean in federal elections. But his presidential run gives…

2016 Senate overview (March 4, 2016) New York - Wyoming

March 4, 2016 · 2:57 PM EST

NEW YORK – Chuck Schumer (D) elected 1998 (55%), 2004 (71%), 2010 (66%). April 14 filing deadline. June 28 primary. Schumer ($24 million on Dec. 31) will win a fourth term. The only question is whether he will be the majority or minority leader in the next Congress. Safe for Democrats.

NORTH…

Four Early Lessons From the Presidential Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2016 · 2:56 PM EST

Republicans and Democrats are still sorting through their presidential primaries, but there are already a handful of lessons to be learned.

The candidate with the most money doesn’t always win. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders loves to claim that the people with the most money control our elections.…

The Case for a Crowded Field to Defeat Trump

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 3, 2016 · 9:25 AM EST

It’s too late to defeat Donald Trump, at least in the primaries. It’s too late for Republicans to unify behind a single Trump alternative. Now it’s a group effort to take down the celebrity businessman.

For the last nine months or so, the talk about the Republican presidential primary was about…

Cruz and Kasich Implausible Scenarios Keeping Trump on Top

by Stuart Rothenberg March 1, 2016 · 9:52 AM EST

The early primaries usually winnow presidential fields because each one tests aspects of a candidacy, and because only victories keep the money flowing.

But while this Republican field has winnowed, it hasn’t shrunk as much as some would like. Part of the answer involves the existence of super PAC…

Trump Is More Vulnerable Than You Think

by Stuart Rothenberg February 23, 2016 · 11:51 AM EST

Most in the national news media are talking about how Donald Trump is now the clear Republican frontrunner and will be nearly impossible to stop. They are only partially right.

Trump, who won South Carolina (and all of its delegates) with a little under one-third of the vote, certainly is the…

Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2016 · 3:02 PM EST

If elected president, Republican Sens. Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio probably won’t keep much more more than the doorknobs from the current White House. But they could take away one valuable lesson from President Barack Obama: What you sow in the Senate, you’ll reap in the Oval Office.

Obama has the…

Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2016 · 8:45 AM EST

Arguing about the term “push poll” is a biennial tradition and, thanks to the Bernie Sanders campaign, we get to do it once again.

On Thursday, ABC News wrote about a recent poll conducted in Nevada by a group that favors former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. The headline, “Recording Suggests…