Inside Elections

2016 Senate Ratings (May 5, 2016)

May 5, 2016 · 9:51 AM EDT

Ryan Rides to the Rescue — But Not Until 2020

by Stuart Rothenberg May 4, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

I recently asked a veteran Republican strategist how his party picks up the pieces after what now looks to be a very difficult 2016 election. His answer was quick and decisive: Paul Ryan.

If November’s elections are as messy for the GOP as they now appear, with Republicans failing once again to…

16 House Districts That Will Make (or Break) Democratic Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2016 · 10:35 AM EDT

As Democratic chances of taking back the House improve with Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket, Democratic party strategists are trying to figure out exactly how and where it’s going to happen. It’s not too difficult to see Democrats gaining 10, or even 20, seats in November, but gaining the…

NRCC Reserves Ad Time for Vulnerable Members

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 2, 2016 · 9:39 AM EDT

Election Day is more than six months away, but the fight for the House is well underway as national Republicans start to reserve ad time to defend some of their most vulnerable districts.

According to two sources following House races, the National Republican Congressional Committee recently…

GOP’s Troubles Just Beginning

by Stuart Rothenberg April 29, 2016 · 10:28 AM EDT

Both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz have glaring weaknesses as presidential nominees, but that’s only the beginning of the GOP's problems. Just as important, the current mix of top issues is simply terrible for Republicans in general and conservatives in particular.

The country moved noticeably to the…

Opposition Research Comes Out of the Shadows

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 24, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

If Republican Barbara Comstock ever wonders what attacks are coming her way later this year, the Virginia congresswoman can read the entire 535-page opposition research book on her life, which Democrats posted online.

Strategists at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee did not publish…

House Overview: Playing Field Could Shift Rather than Expand

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 22, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democratic operatives are re-evaluating their strategy to win back the House - cutting emotional ties from some rural areas that made up their previous majority to focus on more suburban districts, where they believe changing demographics are moving seats into the Democratic column. While this…

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) Alabama - Illinois

April 22, 2016 · 2:59 PM EDT

Arizona. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 30 primary.
1st District (Open; Kirkpatrick, D). Ann Kirkpatrick’s Senate run leaves Democrats with a difficult open seat to defend. Her party has coalesced behind former GOP state Sen. Tom O’Halleran, who is running as a Democrat and had $330,000 on hand on…

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2106) Indiana - New Jersey

April 22, 2016 · 2:58 PM EDT

Indiana. May 3 primary.
3rd District (Open; Stutzman, R). State Sen. Jim Banks, who also served in Afghanistan with the Navy Reserves, looks like the frontrunner in the final weeks before the Republican primary to replace Marlin Stutzman, who is running for the Senate. The Club for Growth is now on…

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) New Mexico - Wyoming

April 22, 2016 · 2:57 PM EDT

New York. June 28 primary.
1st District (Zeldin, R). Lee Zeldin defeated Democratic Rep. Tim Bishop in 2014 and instantly became a top takeover target. Democrats have a competitive primary between Southampton Town Supervisor Anna Throne-Holst ($1.1 million in the bank on March 31) and Suffolk…