Archive

Does the NRSC Have the Right Message for 2018?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 24, 2017 · 10:40 AM EST

The National Republican Senatorial Committee’s assault on Democratic senators up for re-election in 2018 has already begun.

That committee has sent out more than half a dozen press releases since the beginning of the year attacking Democratic senators facing re-election from states carried by…

The Certainty of Death, Taxes, and White Evangelicals

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2017 · 8:30 AM EST

As the electorate evolves with each election cycle because of changing demographics, there is one constant: white evangelicals. Once again, they made up one-quarter of the electorate and voted heavily for the Republican presidential nominee.

White voters, as a share of the electorate, have been on…

House Republicans Entrust Majority to Rogers at NRCC

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 18, 2017 · 8:30 AM EST

Midterm elections are supposed to be trouble for the president’s party, but House Republicans are confident that if they have a problem, John Rogers can solve it.

Rogers was born in Amsterdam, New York, a small-town about a half-hour west of Albany, but Republican friends know him best for once…

The First Time I Met Illinois Senate Candidate Barack Obama

by Stuart Rothenberg January 17, 2017 · 8:30 AM EST

With the end of the Obama Administration approaching, I recently looked back at the notes from my two meetings with Barack Obama during his run for the United States Senate.  Obama was not well known then, and he was regarded as nothing more than a long-shot for the Democratic nomination. 

I first…

2018 Senate Overview: Opportunity vs. Responsibility

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 2:00 PM EST

It’s early. The dust has barely settled on the 2016 elections and seven new senators have been in office for less than a couple of weeks, but the 2018 midterm elections have already begun. 

Some potential candidates are already posturing for statewide bids and at least a dozen vulnerable…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Alabama-Maine

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:59 PM EST

ARIZONA - Jeff Flake (R) elected 2012 (49%). Compared to fellow Grand Canyon State Sen. John McCain, whom grassroots Republicans regard as insufficiently conservative, Flake has generally toed the conservative line, except on immigration. But because of his private clashes with Trump during the…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Maryland-Ohio

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:58 PM EST

MARYLAND -    Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). Unless popular GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34 percent and Democrat Chris Van…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Oklahoma-Wyoming

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:57 PM EST

PENNSYLVANIA - Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). With Trump’s 49-48 percent win over Clinton and Sen. Pat Toomey’s re-election in 2016, Republicans are feeling emboldened about their chances of defeating Casey next year. There was a moment when Casey’s 2012 race looked to be in…

A New Chapter: From Rothenberg to Inside Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 9:30 AM EST

According to branding experts, you’re supposed to change the name of your company every two years. It builds loyalty and boosts profits. Wait…that’s not what they’re saying? You’re probably thinking, that sounds like the same experts who said Hillary Clinton would be the next president.

Two years…