Inside Elections

2018 House Ratings (September 8, 2017)

September 8, 2017 · 10:59 AM EDT

The House Retirement Tide Is Coming

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 7, 2017 · 10:24 AM EDT

A large crop of House members are likely to retire in the coming months, not necessarily because President Donald Trump is polarizing, the parties are divided, or Capitol Hill is “dysfunctional” — but because 40 years of history tell us it’s going to happen.

Since 1976, 22 House members, on…

WA-08 Rating Change: Reichert Retirement Shifts Seat Away from Republicans

September 6, 2017 · 1:15 PM EDT

There are still 110 days until Christmas, but GOP Rep. Dave Reichert just gave Democrats an early gift. The seven-term congressman announced Wednesday that he would not seek re-election, opening up his competitive 8th District in Washington and giving Democrats a prime takeover target.  

Democrats…

2018 House Ratings (September 6, 2017)

September 6, 2017 · 1:14 PM EDT

2018 House Overview: Will Past Be Prologue?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 1, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

The President’s party often suffers heavy House losses in midterm elections. But what happens when voters perceive the President to be outside the traditional two-party system?

President Donald Trump is technically a Republican because he ascended through the GOP nominating process. Still, many…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Alabama - Iowa

September 1, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Feb. 9 filing deadline. June 5 primary.

2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. The congresswoman was re-elected with less than 50 percent in 2016 when a conservative write-in candidate, Becky Gerritson, received nearly 11 percent…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Kansas - New York

September 1, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. June 1 filing deadline. August 7 primary.

2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Presidential Winner: Trump 56%. The combination of an open seat and a strong Democratic candidate, former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis, makes this an interesting race, even…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) North Carolina - Wyoming

September 1, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Feb. 28 filing deadline. May 8 primary.

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%).  2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 53%. Holding won a competitive primary over fellow Rep. Renee Ellmers in a redrawn district, followed by an uneventful general election win. Democrats are…

2018 House Ratings (September 1, 2017)

September 1, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

2017-18 Gubernatorial Ratings (August 24, 2017)

August 24, 2017 · 10:30 AM EDT