Archive

Ratings Change: New Jersey Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up

January 29, 2018 · 1:31 PM EST

GOP Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen’s retirement makes his 11th District of New Jersey even more vulnerable for Republicans  

While the congressman had some of his own baggage—an employee at a local bank landed in hot water with her employer when the congressman alerted the CEO that she was a Democratic…

Watch the Polls, Ignore the Post-Shutdown Chatter

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2018 · 9:11 AM EST

Over the past few weeks, members of Congress, journalists and television hosts agreed on one thing: The looming government shutdown was a huge deal. Then, after the shutdown ended, those same people pontificated about who won and who lost, as well as about liberal dissatisfaction with the deal to…

Pennsylvania 7: How Do You Rate a Race for a Seat that Doesn’t Exist?

January 26, 2018 · 11:50 AM EST

The deep, dark secret of political handicapping is that there isn’t a singular equation that can project the winner of each congressional race. It is helpful to know who is running and where they are running. But thanks to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court throwing out the congressional map and GOP…

2018 House Ratings (January 26, 2018)

January 26, 2018 · 11:49 AM EST

It’s a Blue House Wave, but Not Yet a Senate One

by Stuart Rothenberg January 23, 2018 · 8:49 AM EST

“The odds are greater than half we will take back the Senate.” — Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” last week.

Democrats ought to temper their optimism about the fight for the Senate this year.

Yes, Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama’s special election gives…

9 Things to Know about Pennsylvania’s 7th District Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 22, 2018 · 12:00 PM EST

Republican Rep. Pat Meehan of Pennsylvania is the latest Member hit with allegations of sexual misconduct, putting his suburban Philadelphia seat at even more risk of a Democratic takeover. 

GOP Leadership removed Meehan from the Ethics Committee within hours of the initial New York Times report…