Inside Elections

2018 House Ratings (March 21, 2018)

March 21, 2018 · 9:28 AM EDT

Pennsylvania 18: A Red Flag for the GOP

by Stuart Rothenberg March 16, 2018 · 9:07 AM EDT

The results in the special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th District confirm problems for Republicans.

The size of the Democratic general election wave is still unclear, but something is happening. Districts won comfortably by President Donald Trump in 2016 are more competitive now, which suggests…

12 Thoughts Without Even Knowing Who Won in Pennsylvania

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 14, 2018 · 12:10 AM EDT

The special election race for Pennsylvania's 18th District is too close to call, but many of the takeaways are the same, no matter if Democrat Conor Lamb or Republican Rick Saccone ultimately prevails. 

There will be plenty of hot takes and takeaways about the impact of President Donald Trump on…

Why the Gun Issue Has Shifted (It’s Not What You Think)

by Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2018 · 9:07 AM EDT

The gun debate has shifted dramatically. Suddenly, it looks as if the issue will benefit Democrats in November, not Republicans.

The reason for the shift doesn’t rest primarily on the intelligence and commitment of the students of Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, although…

Indiana Senate: Donnelly Against the Crowd

by Leah Askarinam March 9, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Most Republicans and Democrats seem equally concerned about their chances in the Indiana Senate race. 

Indiana elected exclusively Republicans to statewide offices in 2016 and voted for President Donald Trump by 19 points, which should perturb Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly. But Donnelly has mostly…

Texas Primaries: Democratic Fields Come Into Focus

March 9, 2018 · 2:29 PM EST

After months of speculation, the 2018 midterm elections are officially underway with initial primaries in Texas. 

There’s more evidence of a Democratic surge previously seen in Virginia and in special elections around the country, but also the reality that some of the swarm of Democratic…

Arizona 8 Special: Don’t Be Surprised

March 9, 2018 · 2:28 PM EST

Republican Rep. Trent Franks resigned his seat in the midst of #MeToo movement and he will be replaced by a woman. But the recent special election primary wasn’t exactly smooth sailing for Republicans and the electoral trend across the country over the last year points to this Arizona 8th District…

Mississippi Senate Special: Majority Could Hang in the Balance Into December

March 9, 2018 · 2:27 PM EST

It happens every cycle. There’s a scenario when the fight for the Senate majority moves beyond the beginning of November because of a potential runoff in Louisiana or Georgia. Now it’s a possibility with the special election to replace GOP Sen. Thad Cochran, who is resigning on April 1. 

After…

Candidate Conversation - Stelian Onufrei (R)

March 9, 2018 · 2:26 PM EST

California’s 48th District - Rating: Tilt Republican

Interview Date: Feb. 20, 2018

Date of Birth: Feb. 28, 1965; Dej, Romania

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: A lot of things would need to go right for Onufrei to win. First, he needs to finish in the top two in the…

Candidate Conversation - Jane Raybould (D)

March 9, 2018 · 2:25 PM EST

Nebraska Senate - Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Feb. 13, 2018

Date of Birth: Nov. 1, 1958; Lincoln, Nebraska 

Education: Creighton Univ. (1981); Georgetown Univ. (Master’s; 1985)

Elected Office: Lincoln City Council; Lancaster County Commissioner (former)

Current Outlook: Donald…