New national polls show voters are more upbeat about President Donald Trump’s performance and more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House. Or not.
An April 8-11 Washington Post-ABC News poll showed Trump’s job approval rating at 40 percent, while 56 percent disapproved…
John Edwards’ “Two Americas” speech failed to get him to the White House, but it’s an apt description of the fight for Congress in 2018. While Democrats are primed to take back the majority in the House, Republicans are in better shape in the Senate, thanks to the class of senators up this cycle. …
ARIZONA. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. May 30 filing deadline. Aug. 28 primary. One of the most competitive Senate races in the country begins with a competitive GOP primary between Rep. Martha McSally, former state Sen. Kelli Ward, and former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio.…
MARYLAND. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). June 26 primary. Cardin has never had a blowout race, but after 2016 when Clinton won Maryland by 26 points and Democratic Rep. Chris Van Hollen won the state’s other Senate seat by 25 points, the senator is in good shape for a third term. He…
PENNSYLVANIA. Bob Casey Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). May 15 primary. Rep. Lou Barletta ($1.6 million) is expected to defeat state Rep. Jim Christiana for the GOP nomination, but he faces a decidedly uphill race against Casey ($10 million) in the general election. Even though Trump…
Democrat Randy Bryce garnered national support to oust Speaker Paul Ryan from Congress, with a viral video and nickname (“Ironstache”). But now that Ryan’s decided against seeking re-election, Democrats still have a tough road ahead. President Donald Trump carried the district by 10 points in 2016…
New Mexico’s 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: March 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Nov. 15, 1984; Portland, Ore.
Education: Georgetown (2007), Univ. of New Mexico Law School (2015)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Steve Pearce’s run for…
Florida’s 22nd District — Rating: Solid D
Interview Date: April 11, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 12, 1972; Flushing, NY
Education: Broward College (attended)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: It’s hard to imagine Republicans winning a district that Hillary Clinton…
Washington’s 8th District — Rating: Toss-up
Interview Date: April 10, 2018
Date of Birth: Aug. 23, 1968; Los Angeles, Calif.
Education: Univ. of California, Berkeley (1991), UC-Davis School of Medicine (1997)
Elected Office: None; first run for office
Current Outlook: Pediatrician Kim Schrier…
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