With six months to go before Election Day and their national generic ballot lead slipping to 5 points in the Real Clear Politics average, Democrats are still likely to have a good night in the House. It’s less clear whether Democrats will have a great night or an historic one.
One thing is clear:…
Alabama. June 5 primary.
2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. Roby has a couple high-profile primary challengers in former Rep. Bobby Bright, who served in the House as a Democrat when Roby ousted him in 2010, and Rich Hobson, who served…
Kansas. Aug. 7 primary.
2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. Former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis ($669,000) carried the 2nd District 51-45 percent in the 2014 gubernatorial race against Gov. Sam Brownback and is giving Democrats a chance to win this…
North Carolina.
2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman ($63,000 on April 18) won the Democratic nomination and could complicate her party’s chances because her primary opponent was personally wealthy. Holding…
Arkansas’ 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: May 10, 2018
Date of Birth: Jan. 20, 1981; Little Rock, Ark.
Education: Harvard College (2003), Univ. of Arkansas law school (2006)
Elected Office: State House (2014-present)
Current Outlook: State Rep. Clarke Tucker gives…
California’s 48th District - Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: April 25, 2018
Date of Birth: July 9, 1965; Whittier, Calif.
Education: UCLA (Bachelor’s, 2003); Biola Univ. (Master’s 2008); Orange Coast Community College (attended)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current…
Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems).
This cycle’s version has a plethora of seats to choose from, given the 38 Republican and 19 Democratic seats…
Senate. Sherrod Brown (D) elected 2006 (56%), 2012 (51%). Rep. Jim Renacci won the GOP nomination in the least suspenseful Senate primary of the night, defeating investment banker Mike Gibbons 47-32 percent. Renacci was also the only GOP congressman to be victorious in a Senate primary last night,…
Senate. Joe Manchin (D) elected 2010 special (53%), 2012 (61%). Former coal company CEO Don Blankenship, who served a year in prison, enjoyed a few days in the national spotlight as a serious contender for the GOP nomination. But state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey prevailed with 35 percent…
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