Iowa’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: July 27, 2018
Date of Birth: March 4, 1980; Ames, Iowa
Education: Univ. of Nebraska (2003); Morningside College (attended)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Rep. Steve King, who makes headlines for…
California’s 21st District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: July 12, 2018
Date of Birth: July 18, 1963; Walnut Creek, Calif.
Education: Univ. of Nevada (1986); Southern Methodist Univ. (MBA 1999)
Elected Office: None; 19th District candidate (2006)
Current Outlook: Democrats…
When I saw Ohio Democrat Aftab Pureval playing softball in a campaign ad, I felt like my years of election analysis and beer-league softball were finally coming together.
Pureval, the Hamilton County clerk of courts, is challenging Republican Rep. Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st District. He’s running…
Whenever a member of Congress is indicted, it’s a good idea to take a long, hard look at their re-election chances. It’s also reasonable to believe their prospects for another term would be diminished and political handicappers would immediately downgrade their race. But it’s not so simple with GOP…
This cycle, the wave analogy has been watered down and it’s time for a new metaphor: fire. More specifically, fires.
Whether it’s GOP Members in Hillary Clinton districts, extraordinary Democratic challengers and fundraising, competitive open seats, or lazy incumbents, Republicans have dozens of…
Alaska. Aug. 21 primary.
At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 2016 with 50%). Trump 53%. Education reform activist Alyse Galvin is running for the Democratic nomination and might even be the frontrunner. In 2016, the Democratic nominee and an independent candidate combined for 39 percent. Young was…
Kansas.
2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. Defense contractor Steve Watkins (who is also an Afghanistan war veteran and and former Iditarod dog sled racer) won the crowded Aug. 7 primary. The Topeka and Lawrence-based district voted for Trump but former state…
North Carolina.
2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman was perceived as the weaker candidate in the Democratic primary because her opponent was personally wealthy. But CLF recently announced a field office in the…
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