North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). Dec. 20 filing. March 3 primary. Tillis defeated Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one of the closest races of the 2014 cycle and next year’s race could be headed for a similar margin. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage.…
Peggy Huang (R)
California’s 45th District — Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: June 12, 2019
Date of Birth: Oct. 6, 1970; Taipei, Taiwan
Education: Univ. of Calif. Berkeley (1993); Univ. of the Pacific (J.D. 1997)
Elected Office: Yorba Linda City Council (elected 2014)
Current…
After much anticipation, the U.S. Supreme Court weighed in on partisan redistricting with a 5-4 ruling that it won’t weigh in on partisan redistricting now or in the future. And it’s likely that the current congressional maps will be the same for the 2020 elections.
“The court holds that partisan…
Most people in politics are intensely focused on President Donald Trump’s polling numbers in battleground states or the latest horse race numbers in the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination. For those of us in the CMAG group at Kantar, it’s that time of the election cycle when everyone…
There has been plenty of attention recently on economic models that show President Donald Trump holding a huge advantage in the 2020 presidential contest. But it’s not that simple.
Like alchemists hunting for the secret recipe that transmutes lead into gold, media personalities, political junkies…
Republicans in Washington are working overtime to make sure Roy Moore isn’t the party’s Senate nominee again. But even though it might get uncomfortable for the GOP, Moore shouldn’t be dismissed in the primary or general elections.
Republican Richard Shelby, Alabama’s senior senator, got ahead of…
If it hadn’t been for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upset over Joe Crowley in the Democratic primary, Iowa Democrat Abby Finkenauer would have been at the center of national attention for being the youngest woman ever elected to Congress. But as she runs for re-election in the 1st District, evading…
New Mexico may not be leading the national political discussion in 2020, but that’s not because of a lack of political activity.
As the 2020 election cycle first took shape, it seemed like a handful of states would attract the most political attention: House Democrats are targeting Arizona,…
Kai Kahele (D)
Hawaii’s 2nd District -- Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: June 10, 2019
Date of Birth: March 28, 1974; Honolulu, Hawaii
Education: Univ. of Hawaii - Manoa (1998); Univ. of Hawaii - Hilo (attended); Hawaii Community College (attended)
Elected Office: State Senate
Current…
