The 2018 race in this wealthy Illinois district just west of Chicago was one of the fastest-moving in the country. As late as September 13, the race was rated Solid Republican. But over the subsequent six weeks, the race broke against four-term Republican Rep. Randy Hultgren. On November 5,…
One of the first danger signs for Hillary Clinton on election night 2016 was when Donald Trump took and maintained the lead in Florida. As Democrats strategize about which states they can flip four years later, Florida is near the top of the list as a state with 29 electoral votes that voted for…
A week ago, challenger Jill Karofsky won a hotly contested Wisconsin Supreme Court election, defeating incumbent Daniel Kelly. Even though it was a state race, the results were the latest evidence that the Badger State will be a presidential battleground in November.
Although Wisconsin judicial…
Even though it’s not yet summer, there are windows looking into the fall. Recent television ad reservations from the Congressional Leadership Fund and the House Majority PAC show that, despite higher profile races for the Senate and White House, the battle for the House of Representatives…
The coronavirus has put a temporary end to simple things such as sitting at a restaurant or going to a baseball game, but don’t declare the end of political advertising just yet.
With travel, rallies, and in-person campaigning severely curtailed, and campaigns striving to maximize communication…
Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.
I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the…
Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that.
But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage — due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors — that their path to…
With just 13 women on Capitol Hill, House Republicans don’t have any room for error if they want to boost their numbers. After this year’s initial batch of primaries, however, and looking ahead at primaries to come, Republicans are at risk of simply breaking even when it comes to their female…
Individual & Group Subscriptions Available