In April, the coronavirus pandemic was emerging as the hot issue playing out in campaign ads across the country. At the time, it felt like the once-in-a-lifetime national health crisis would dominate the news cycle for the foreseeable future.
What was unforeseeable was another once-in-a-lifetime…
Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that.
But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their…
Republicans are putting Tip O’Neill’s “All politics is local” to the ultimate test in Florida. GOP strategists generally believe that their path back to the House majority lies in districts carried or narrowly lost by President Donald Trump in 2016. Florida’s 26th is not one of those districts; it…
One of the biggest upsets in the 2008 presidential election was when President Barack Obama carried the state of North Carolina, which had not voted for a Democrat for president since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Since 2008 however, the state has proved elusive for Democrats, voting Republican in the next…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin
Hawaii’s 2nd District (Northern Oahu and all other islands) Open; Tulsi Gabbard, D, ran for president. The primary isn’t until August but pilot/state Sen. Kai Kahele is the likely Democratic nominee and likely new Member of Congress in this Democratic…
Kentucky Senate — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: May 28, 2020 (via Google Meet)
Date of Birth: October 20, 1984; Louisville, Ky. Education: Univ. of Louisville (2007, J.D. 2010)
Elected Office: State House (2019-present)
Current Outlook: Booker is one of three Democrats running…
Kentucky Senate — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: May 27, 2020 (via Google Meet)
Date of Birth: March 7, 1962; Racine, Wisconsin
Education: Rutgers (1984)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Broihier is one of three Democrats vying to take on Senate Majority…
New Jersey’s 2nd District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: May 20, 2020 (via Google Meet)
Date of Birth: May 21, 1965; Camden, New Jersey
Education: Stockton Univ. (1988); Rutgers (M.A. 1990); Temple Univ. (Ph.D. 1996)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook:…
Republicans lost an incumbent but gained some peace of mind as Iowa Rep. Steve King finally went down to defeat. He lost to state Sen. Randy Feenstra on Tuesday in the 4th District primary and by a wide enough margin to avoid the contest going to a convention.
President Donald Trump carried the…
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