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2020 Senate Overview: GOP Women Hold Keys to GOP Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 10, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

There are just eight Republican women in the U.S. Senate, but they are critical in the GOP effort to maintain the majority. 

Of those eight female Republican senators, six will be on the ballot this November and four of them are in competitive races. Martha McSally of Arizona and Susan Collins of…

Important Redistricting Process Begins with Reapportionment

by Ryan Matsumoto January 10, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

In December, the Census Bureau released new 2019 population estimates that give us clues about which states will gain or lose congressional seats and how the Electoral College will be impacted for the next decade.

History & Process
The Reapportionment Act of 1929 outlined the process by which…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama - Kansas

January 10, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. In November, former Sen. Jeff Sessions entered the race for his old seat and is the GOP frontrunner. He served as Trump’s attorney general for a tumultuous nine months, but Sessions is all-but-guaranteed to make…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico

January 10, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Just looking at the fundraising, you’d think control of the Senate hinged on the outcome in Kentucky. But that’s not the case. Because of his…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

January 10, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). March 3 primary. Tillis received some good news when his wealthy primary opponent, Garland Tucker, dropped out of the race, and Rep Mark Walker, who was left without a winnable district, declined to run. But Tillis (who had $4.9 million in the…

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2020 · 3:30 PM EST

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s decision not to run for Senate in Kansas creates a legitimate scenario for Democrats to win a seat in a Republican state and increases the chances Democrats win control in November.

Pompeo has long been viewed as the Republicans’ easiest path to keeping retiring…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not fundamentally altered…