Archive

Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican

June 2, 2020 · 11:15 PM EDT

Republicans lost an incumbent but gained some peace of mind as Iowa Rep. Steve King finally went down to defeat. He lost to state Sen. Randy Feenstra on Tuesday in the 4th District primary and by a wide enough margin to avoid the contest going to a convention. 

President Donald Trump carried the…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher May 29, 2020 · 10:28 AM EDT

In May 2006, The Raconteurs released their Grammy-nominated debut single, “Steady, As She Goes.” In May 2020, presidential polling followed that advice. Joe Biden maintains a steady national lead over President Donald Trump, while new state polls still show a tight race in key battlegrounds.…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Democrats Could Expand Majority

May 22, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Last week, Republicans won California’s 25th District, giving them their first takeover in the state in 20 years and their first special election flip since 2011. It was a legitimate victory that lowered their threshold for a majority to 17 seats. But…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama - Iowa

May 22, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District Don Young, R, re-elected 53%.
Trump 51%. Independent Alyse Galvin, who lost by 7 points in 2018, is running again and has outraised Young for the last three quarters -- she had $961,000 cash on hand compared to $804,000 for Young. Democrats think this could be a…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas - New York

May 22, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas.
2nd District (Topeka, Lawrence, eastern rural Kansas) Steve Watkins, R, elected 48%.
Trump 56%. Watkins ($438,000 cash on hand on March 31) has been embroiled in varying degrees of ethics and personal scandals since before he won in 2018, perturbing state treasurer Jake LaTurner ($572,000)…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 22, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 
2nd District (Raleigh) Open; George Holding, R, not seeking re-election.
Clinton 60%. 2016 Senate nominee Deborah Ross ($161,000 in the bank on March 31) is the Democratic nominee and the prohibitive favorite for this redrawn seat in November. Likely D.

6th District…

Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 22, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

South Carolina’s 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: May 11, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: July 5, 1980; Rock Hill, South Carolina

Education: Furman Univ. (2002, Truman Scholar 2001); Stanford Univ. (J.D. 2007)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 20, 2020 · 12:27 PM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that. 

But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their path to…